+-2sigma.Rmdのロジックを良くしたい
やりたいこと
mm/ddのリターンが過去〇〇日のリターンの-2σ以上なのか以下なのか判別したい

1 前処理

2 -2σ計算

# rm(tmp)
# rm(tmp1)
# rm(tmp2)
# rm(touraku2)


#過去1週間分を評価する
  #結果テーブル準備
    # tmp2 <- data.frame('date'=2017-01-01 , 'close'=999 , 'ticker'='aaa' , 'rtn'=0.99 ,
    #                        'sigma'=0.99 , 'buysign'='buy')[-1,]
    # tmp2 <- as.Date(tmp2[,1])
    # touraku2 <- data.frame('date'=2017-01-01 , 'close'=999 , 'ticker'='aaa' , 'rtn'=0.99 ,
    #                        'sigma'=0.99 , 'buysign'='buy')[-1,]
    # touraku2[,1] <- as.Date(touraku2[,1])
    tmp2 <- dailyrtn
    tmp2 <- transform(tmp2, sigma=0)
    tmp2 <- transform(tmp2, buysign='--')
    tmp2[,1] <- ymd(tmp2[,1])
    tmp2[,6] <- as.character(tmp2[,6])
    tmp2 <- tmp2[-1,]
    touraku2 <- head(dailyrtn,1)
    touraku2 <- transform(touraku2, sigma=0)
    touraku2 <- transform(touraku2, buysign='--')
    touraku2[,1] <- ymd(touraku2[,1])
    touraku2[,6] <- as.character(touraku2[,6])
    touraku2 <- touraku2[-1,]

  for (i in 1:length(ticker_tmp)){
    
    tmp <- subset(dailyrtn, ticker == ticker_tmp[i])
    #列追加
      tmp <- transform(tmp, sigma=0)
      tmp <- transform(tmp, buysign='--')
      tmp$date <- ymd(tmp$date)
      tmp[,6] <- as.character(tmp[,6])
      tmp <- tmp[-1,]

    #1週間前の位置 1週間前から現在までのcloseを評価するの意
      tarRow1 <- nrow(tmp) - 6
      
      for (k in tarRow1:nrow(tmp)) {
      #過去300日分のリターンの-2σ計算
        #tarRow2 <- k - 300
        #過去300日分の抽出
          #tmp1 <- subset(tmp, 
          #               as.numeric(row.names(tmp)) >= tarRow2
          #               & row.names(tmp) <= tarRow1 )
          tmp1 <- tmp[1:tarRow1,]
          tmp1 <- tail(tmp1, 300)
        #-2σ計算
          under2sigma <- quantile(tmp1$rtn,c(0.02275))
        #-2σの追記
          tmp[k, 5] <- under2sigma
        #リターンとunder2sigmaを比較してbuyサインを立てる
          if (tmp[k, 4] < tmp[k, 5]) {
            tmp[k, 6] <- 'buy'
          } else {
            tmp[k, 6] <- '-'
          }
      }
    #結果をテーブルへ
      tmp2 <- rbind(tmp2, tmp)
      touraku2 <- subset(tmp2, buysign=='buy')
      touraku2$ticker <- as.factor(touraku2$ticker)
      #1週間以内でフィルタ
        touraku2 <- touraku2 %>%
          filter(date >= Sys.Date()-7)
  }
  datatable(touraku2,
          filter = 'top', 
          style = 'bootstrap', class = 'table-bordered table-condensed',
          extensions = 'ColReorder',
          options = list(dom = 'Rlfrtip')
          )
  #write.table(touraku2,'touraku2.txt',sep="\t",quote=F,row.names = F)
  
  ticker_bakusagari <- as.character(t(touraku2$ticker))

#購入済で下がった銘柄は？
  ticker_kaimashikoho <- intersect(ticker_bakusagari, kounyu)
#購入済でない銘柄は？
  #setdiff(a,b)はaにあってbにないものを抽出する
  ticker_shinkikoho <- setdiff(ticker_bakusagari, kounyu)
  
  tmp <- subset(kabu.com_list, kabu.com_list$ticker %in% ticker_bakusagari)
  datatable(tmp,
        filter = 'top', 
        style = 'bootstrap', class = 'table-bordered table-condensed',
        extensions = 'ColReorder',
        options = list(dom = 'Rlfrtip')
        )

購入済で下がった銘柄

新規購入候補の銘柄
1566, 1322, 2040, 1498, 1654, 1495, 1659, 1389, 1560, 1656, 1349, 2522, 1551, 2519, 1483, 1484, 1481, 1470, 1464, 1593, 1591, 2526, 1474, 1599, 1592, 1492, 1493, 2033, 1554, 1658, 1387, 1478, 1477, 2520, 2514, 1657, 2513, 1550, 1680, 1653, 1399, 1391, 1386, 1652, 2518, 1479, 1393, 1545, 2046, 1598, 1324, 1555, 2065, 1494, 2044, 1655, 1557, 1547, 2521, 2045, 2515, 2043, 1348, 1475, 2524, 1473, 2523, 1585, 1586, 1621, 1628, 1624, 1632, 1631, 1619, 1622, 1629, 1630, 1626, 1617, 1620, 1623, 1625, 1633, 1568, 1651, 1584, 1546, 1679, 2050, 1541, 1385, 1326, 1540, 1542, 2517, 1597, 1476, 1595, 1398, 1488, 2516, 2042, 1615, 1698, 2037, 1682, 1346, 2525, 1369, 1397, 1578, 1570, 1458, 1579, 1489, 2066, 1497, 2067, 2529, 1480, 1660, 2048, 2068, 1577, 2069, 3487, 3281, 3227, 3290, 3279, 8975, 3463, 8963, 3298, 2971, 8954, 8958, 8972, 3278, 3453, 3488, 3473, 3459, 2972, 8985, 8987, 8952, 3468, 3492, 3451, 3295, 8956, 8964, 3455, 3470, 3466, 3493, 8977, 3471, 3478, 8961, 3234, 3287, 8984, 8976, 3476, 8957, 3226, 8951, 8955, 3308, 8953, 8967, 8986, 8968, 8966, 3462, 1365, 1320, 1321, 1329, 1358

3 グラフ（確認用）

#国内

if (length(intersect(touraku2$ticker, kokunaiETF)) >= 1) {
  g <- ggplot(NULL)
  g <- g + geom_line(data = subset(daily1,
                                   ticker %in% intersect(touraku2$ticker, kokunaiETF) &
                                   year(date) >= 2017),
                     aes(x=date, y=close, colour=ticker))
  g <- g + geom_point(data = subset(touraku2,
                                    ticker%in% intersect(touraku2$ticker, kokunaiETF) &
                                    year(date) >= 2017),
                      aes(x=date, y=close, colour=ticker))
  ggplotly(g)
} else {
  tmp <- 0
}
#海外
if (length(intersect(touraku2$ticker, kaigai)) >= 1) {
  g <- ggplot(NULL)
  g <- g + geom_line(data = subset(daily1,
                                   ticker %in% intersect(touraku2$ticker, kaigai) &
                                   year(date) >= 2017),
                     aes(x=date, y=close, colour=ticker))
  g <- g + geom_point(data = subset(touraku2,
                                    ticker%in% intersect(touraku2$ticker, kaigai) &
                                    year(date) >= 2017),
                      aes(x=date, y=close, colour=ticker))
  ggplotly(g)
} else {
  tmp <- 0
}

4 

  ggplotly(
      ggplot(subset(monthlyrtn, ticker %in% ticker_bakusagari),
             aes(x = return_monthly, colour = ticker)
             ) + geom_density()
  )

# 購入済銘柄との相関確認

# ticker4 <- c()
# f02 <- daily1 %>%
#   filter(ticker %in% ticker_bakusagari | ticker %in% kounyu,
#          date >= Sys.Date() - 365)
# f02 <- dcast(f02, date ~ ticker, value.var='close')
# f02 <- f02[,2:ncol(f02)]
# f02 <- f02[,order(factor(colnames(f02),levels=ticker4))]
# cor.plot(cor(f02, use='pairwise.complete.obs', method='p'),
#          numbers=T)
# corrplot.mixed(cor(f02, use='pairwise.complete.obs', method='p'),
#                order = "hclust", tl.col = "black")

#qgraph
  # f03 <- f02
  # groups <- list("購入済"=1:length(kounyu),"新規"=length(kounyu)+1:length(ticker_shinkikoho))
  # qgraph(cor(f03, use='pairwise.complete.obs', method='p'),groups=groups)
    $(function(){
      $("img:not(.lb-image)").wrap(function() {
        return "<a href='" + $(this).attr("src") + "' data-lightbox='" + $(this).attr("scr") + "'></a>";
      });
    });